Champions League Value Picks (No, really)

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Champions League Value Picks (No, really)

James Capps

So we’re at that time in the footballing year when leagues and competitions start to take shape, and this year is no different. Pre-tournament group favourites in the Champions League are doing the business, with most of them making inroads towards the knockout stages. Meanwhile, over in the Championship, much-fancied Norwich and Newcastle’s charges towards a Premier League return are gathering momentum.

But do you reckon Leicester will continue their rather nicely shaped start to life in Europe on Tuesday night? The bookies have given us an absolute beauty in the form of a 21/20 shout for them to beat FC Copenhagen. Yes, the Danish side are unbeaten in the group and sit in second place, but they have nowhere near the quality that’s needed to stop a full-strength Leicester side in Europe. I’m emptying my piggy bank on this one, which means £1.67 will return a cheeky £3.40ish for my evening pint.

Will Leicester’s Algerian duo of Mahrez and Slimani do the trick against Copenhagen? (Source: The Telegraph)

Value is to be had in a couple more European ties tonight. If you’re brave enough to stick Dortmund in your accas, you’re rewarded with a tasty price of 23/20 with Ladbrokes. Sporting Lisbon have conceded eight goals in their last three games, so if Dortmund can remain tight at the back, they have a big chance.

The other English side in action on Tuesday night is Spurs, who travel to Germany to face Bayer Leverkusen. A very tricky game to call is probably best avoided if you’re looking to back an outright winner. One interesting sub plot is Son Heung-min returning to his former club for the first time. He found his way onto the scoresheet when I tipped him to score in the last Champions League gameweek, and he’s a 23/10 shout to repeat the trick and haunt his former employers tonight.

Wednesday night isn’t such a rosy field of value. Arsenal, Bayern, Napoli and PSG are all tiny-priced favourites and should win comfortably.

The tie of the night is at the Nou Camp, where Barcelona host their former manager, as Pep Guardiola’s Man City pay a visit. Guardiola is yet to taste victory on his old stomping ground with a visiting side, and it probably will still be the case come 9:30 on Wednesday evening. City have been stuttering in the league, and Barca are starting to look as imperious as ever. 10/21 is about as short as you’re gonna get for a Barca home victory this season, so it’s worth taking whilst it’s around. If value is more your thing, Lionel Messi to score two or more goals is well worth a tenner at 7/2.

The second best MSN of my lifetime. Those of a certain age will agree. (Source: Sydney Morning Herald)

In the Championship, Leeds should get back to winning ways against Wigan at Elland Road. Leeds have won their last four at home, while The Latics have lost five of their last six on the road. 11/10 for a home win looks a steal.

As a Derby fan, it pains me to say that Nottingham Forest are a cracking 15/8 for an away win over at Blackburn. Rovers are a side that has been ravaged by injuries and suspensions in recent weeks. Goals are also a problem; they’ve drawn blanks in three of their last four games at Ewood Park. Striker Britt Assombalonga should return to the Forest side this evening, and that usually means goals.

Finally, Ipswich v Burton is hardly a fixture that is going to get blood pumping, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t a bet you should at least consider. Ipswich haven’t won in five games, and have failed to score in them all as well. Burton meanwhile, have failed to score more than one goal in an away game in their last four trips away from Staffordshire. Under 1.5 goals in this one is a huge 17/10.

El Capitano’s Tip of the Day: Real Madrid to beat Legia Warsaw at 1/40. Just kidding. Under 1.5 goals between Ipswich and Burton in the Championship.

Cappa’s Acca: £10 on Dortmund, Sevilla, Leeds and Newcastle returns £116 with Ladbrokes. Back it here! 

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