Black Thursday, anyone? Check out why my Thursday was rather dark right here. That’s Inter Milan well and truly off the Christmas card list this year.
Speaking of grim, Burnley is our first stop on our whirlwind tipping tour of the Premier League. The Clarets host Manchester City in Saturday’s lunchtime kick off and have a surprisingly decent record against Pep’s side. Burnley have only one defeat in their last four encounters with City, including a 1-0 win the last time the sides met at Turf Moor.
9/1 for another Burnley win is a monster price when you consider Man City only arrived back from Champions League duty on Thursday morning, so you’d expect a bit of squad rotation and fatigue there. City will probably be too strong, but 3/10 shouldn’t be enough for anybody that fears the dreaded early kick off syndrome. A much more appetising pro-City bet would be a clean sheet at even money with Ladbrokes. City striker Kelechi Iheanacho is the go-to striker for Guardiola when it comes to post-European games, and he’s a decent 7/2 shout to score first in this one.
In the three o’clock kick offs there’s a crunch tie at the Liberty Stadium between Swansea and Crystal Palace. The Swans have the worst home record in the league. They’re without a win at the Liberty, and have scored just five goals in their six home games. Palace, meanwhile, already have a couple of wins on the road this year and are pretty potent. The Eagles have the fourth-best goalscoring record in away games in the Premier League this season, with nine goals in six. Palace to deal another blow to Bob Bradley is a big 15/8. However, beware that four of the last five games between the two sides have ended in a draw, and the last six ties have ended with under 2.5 goals, so that’s another tip to stick on your virtual slips. Do it here.
Leicester, meanwhile, have more points from their five Champions League games than they do in in 12 Premier League games this campaign. That tells you everything you need to know about where their priorities are. They’re hosting a Middlesbrough side that are very much in a relegation dogfight following some iffy recent results. Something that Aitor Karanka’s side have got going for them is a decent backline, including the third-best away defence in the division. Couple that with Leicester boasting the second-strongest home defence and you have a 0-0 draw at 17/2 with Ladbrokes. Back the draw at 12/5 if you fancy playing it slightly safer.
Liverpool at 1/6 to see off Sunderland looks a bit too short when you consider Sunderland’s Premier League resurgence. They’ve won their last two but Liverpool is probably a stretch too far. A Roberto Firmino wincast at 4/5 is much more like it if value’s your kinda thing.
Saturday’s evening game should be a cracker, when Chelsea host Spurs at the Bridge. Chelsea are flying, having won their last six without conceding, and playing some of their best football for years. Spurs, meanwhile, have been dumped out of the Champions League, and are struggling to get wins under their belt domestically. Chelsea at 3/4 to put Spurs to the sword in the latest London derby is as good as it gets.
Over to Sunday we go, and there are a couple of decent subplots bubbling away. Ronald Koeman takes Everton to his former stomping ground to take on Southampton. The Saints have mirrored their Europa League group stage scoreline in the following Premier League game in two of their four games so far this campaign. They drew 0-0 at Leicester after the same scoreline against Hapoel Beer Sheva three days earlier, and also lost 2-1 at Hull after they beat Inter Milan by the same scoreline the Thursday before. They lost 1-0 to Sparta Prague on Thursday. Fancy Everton to do a similar job on the Saints on Sunday? I do, and at 9/1, the odds are well worth it.
We’ll finish off with a battle of the Uniteds, this time between Manchester and West Ham. Jose has had a couple of encouraging results over the last week, with a draw that should really have been a win over Arsenal, followed by Thursday night’s thrashing of Feyenoord. The Hammers are really struggling at the moment, and a dramatic 3-2 defeat to Spurs last weekend will have done nothing to lighten Slaven Bilic’s mood. Wayne Rooney was on the scoresheet on Thursday, and he’s just one goal away from matching Bobby Charlton’s United goalscoring record. Back Wazza to make it on Sunday and score anytime. 6/4 is your price there.
El Capitano’s Tip of the Day: Leicester 0-0 Middlesbrough at a massive 8/1. Back it here.
Cappa’s Acca: £10 on Chelsea, Crystal Palace, QPR and Milwall returns a rather “capital” £342 with BoyleSports. See what I did, there?