Serie A football preview: Napoli warm up for Real Madrid and depleted Milan face daunting trip to Lazio

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Serie A football preview: Napoli warm up for Real Madrid and depleted Milan face daunting trip to Lazio

Jack Rathborn

Napoli vs Genoa: Over 3.5 goals (11/10 Ladbrokes)

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Maurizio Sarri’s Napoli are an engrossing watch right now and last week’s 7-1 mauling of Bologna only emphasised that.

The immediate thought here is Dries Mertens to score any time, at 4/7, after failing to do so just three times in his last 10 games with 14 goals in the process. But Real Madrid are on the horizon and there is a distinct prospect of him playing less than 90 minutes as a result.

Genoa are winless in seven but have averaged two goals per game themselves in that run, so the over 3.5 goals, at 11/10, in a game where they face an attacking juggernaut looks the way to go.

Back it here.

Crotone vs AS Roma: Roma to win -1 (11/10 Boyle Sports)

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The midweek 4-0 thrashing of Fiorentina secured a club-record 14 consecutive home wins for Roma – that streak is one to monitor moving forward.

Luciano Spalletti could be boosted by the returning Mohamed Salah, which may push him to move back to a more attack-minded 4-2-3-1 to accommodate both Diego Perotti, should he be fit, and the Egyptian.

Relegation candidates Crotone languish in 19th place and given there appears to be real harmony on the pitch for the Giallorossi – while the drama surrounding their new stadium continues to rumble off it – the -1 at better than even money at 11/10 seems a good opportunity.

Cagliari vs Juventus: BTTS (10/11 Boyle Sports)

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The formidable Juventus train keeps on rolling and is now seven points clear with Massimiliano Allegri’s former club Cagliari up next.

But the Isolani have scored two or more in all but two of their home games this season and only Napoli were able to keep a clean sheet. On their run of four consecutive clean sheets, the Old Lady kept out Sassuolo and Crotone on the road, but they failed to keep out their previous five away opponents before that.

While Massimo Rastelli’s side pose a goal threat at home, they’re equally as vulnerable at the back, with bottom-of-the-league Pescara the only side to concede more this campaign.

‘Over 2.5 goals,’ at 8/13, would be a logical and safe pick, the greater reward could come with ‘both teams to score,’ at 10/11, which is due in a Juve game.

Back it here.

Lazio vs AC Milan: Over 2.5 goals (5/6 Boyle Sports) and Lazio to win (5/6 Boyle Sports)

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Milan were in crisis leading into their midweek fixture at Bologna after three defeats on the bounce, but despite going down to nine men – more of which later – they ground out a vital 1-0 victory.

Lazio present an entirely different proposition though and should win this one, available at 5/6, having developed a quietly promising top three challenge off the back of Simone Inzaghi’s well-balanced side.

Vincenzo Montella’s attack has promise – with Gerard Deulofeu adding glimpses of real quality with the sublime assist midweek for Mario Pasalic – and there could be space to roam at the Olimpico.

But Gabriel Paletta and midfield terrier Juraj Kucka are suspended and Alessio Romagnoli could join Mattia De Sciglio and Luca Antonelli on the sidelines, meaning ‘over 2.5 goals,’ at 5/6, and potentially ‘over 3.5 goals’ at 2/1, are really attractive.

Back it here.