West Bromwich Albion vs. AFC Bournemouth: WBA Win (1/1 with Ladbrokes)
Bournemouth have been in a minor state of disarray since the turn of the year, losing five of their seven games played and drawing the other two. The defence has caved in without Nathan Ake and now Callum Wilson’s been ruled out for the season, it’s seemingly all on Jack Wilshere and Josh King.
At The Hawthorns this weekend, where West Brom have won six of their last seven games, per WhoScored.com, the Cherries’ weaknesses might just be laid bare. Tony Pulis has his defensive leader Jonny Evans back and the team are scoring an abnormally high amount of goals. It feels as though this one only goes one way.
Hull City vs. Burnley: Hull win (23/20 with Ladbrokes)
Continuing a theme, Hull City at a shade better than evens to beat Burnley at home this weekend looks like good value.
29 of the Claret’s 30 points this season have been accrued on home soil, meaning just one – at Old Trafford of all places – has been earned on the road. Heading to Hull might have been viewed as the perfect opportunity to get over the hump 40 days ago, but now, with Marco Silva in charge, they’re a well-drilled, formidable prospect.
Under 2.5 Goals is also attractive here – seven of Hull’s last eight matches have featured fewer than three – but the odds (8/13 with Ladbrokes) aren’t attractive.
Watford vs. West Ham: Both Teams To Score Yes (4/6 with Ladbrokes)
What Walter Mazzarri managed in the January transfer market was quite impressive: He completely ripped up his forward line and brought genuine speed to an ailing attack.
M’Baye Niang will frighten the life out of whichever poor soul plays at full-back for West Ham this weekend, while the ball is also being moved far more effectively in midfield thanks to the underrated Tom Cleverley.
But flip the coin, and the Hammers pose a threat of their own. Slaven Bilic’s collection of goalscoring midfielders have actually started scoring goals, so the fact Andy Carroll likely misses this one isn’t so much of a concern. Expect both sides to notch at least one.
Chelsea vs. Swansea City: Under 2.5 Goals (5/4 with Ladbrokes)
This week has proved a difficult one to find value in, as many of the games – this one included – appear so cut and dried in their outcome. The fact Diego Costa is only 9/4 to score two or more goals tells you how one-sided the bookies think Chelsea’s match with Swansea this weekend will be.
So let’s think outside the box. Swansea City’s hallmark under Paul Clement is that they’ve been hard to beat, with space hard to come by between the lines and the titanic Alfie Mawson knocking everything clear in the penalty box. They likely won’t be able to stave off the Blues for 90 minutes, but it’s conceivable they only concede, say, twice.
Add in the fact that Chelsea have visibly slowed a little, and now go through periods of games where they don’t look like they’re trying to score, and a scoreline in the region of 2-0 seems very plausible. That’s marked at 5/1 in case you fancy taking a risk, but Under 2.5 Goals at 5/4 is your safety net.