It’s FA Cup Quarter Final weekend, and if you’re a fan of backing Arsenal at 1/12 and Spurs at 2/13, then this isn’t the blog for you.
Chelsea at 20/23 is much more like it, though. They’re on a run of eight wins out of ten, while United will be in the middle of a Russian Europa League shit-storm. Jose Mourinho’s men have just a few days to return from their last-16 trip to Mordor and to freshen up for this one. Throw Zlatan’s suspension into the mix and you have a stone cold (Steve Austin) home banker.
An FA Cup match against lower-league opposition represents an appetising opportunity for Mauricio Pochettino to wheel out misfiring Vincent Jansson for a rare start. The Dutchman is just shy of even money to score in a Tottenham victory against Millwall. If Janssen doesn’t start over Harry Kane, you can get a whopping 9/5 for the England frontman to score at least two goals, which is decent for a chap with 23 goals in 29 London derbies.
In the nitty gritty of the Championship, Brighton have the chance to go level on points with leaders Newcastle in Friday night’s game against Derby at the AMEX. The Rams have won just once in nine games, and an injury for captain Richard Keogh leaves a big hole in the visiting defence. Brighton, meanwhile, have the best home record in the division, so 5/6 for a Seagulls win is the perfect way to kick off your Friday night.
That will leave the chasing pack with work to do, and Huddersfield have a tough trip to a Brentford side with plenty of verve and attacking prowess. This one has “both teams to score” written all over it with permanent marker. Elsewhere, Leeds host struggling QPR, and are a cracking even money to overcome a side they’re unbeaten against in five games, while Reading have a tricky tie on their hands when they visit in-form Preston. Both sides are particularly tough nuts to crack, so go for the score draw at a rather nutty price of 7/2.
Down at the bottom of the table there’s a relegation six-pointer between Wigan and Bristol City. A win for either side would probably take them out of the bottom three, so it will be welcome news for the Robins that top scorer Tammy Abraham is returning from injury. The Chelsea loanee is a huge 13/8 to score anytime, and will be raring to go on his return.
League One is also home to a relegation scrap this weekend, where Bury travel across Lancashire to face Oldham Athletic. Goals probably won’t be on the menu, with over 2.5 goals coming in just once in the last 15 years of this fixture. It’ll be a tight one, this, so chuck a tenner at under 1.5 goals at 2/1 with Ladbrokes.
The game of the day in the third tier sees Fleetwood face off against Bolton in a battle for the second automatic promotion spot. Fleetwood earned themselves a shiny gold star thanks to their beauty of an away win at Scunthorpe last week, and you’d be a fool to go against them this weekend. They’re now unbeaten in 18 following that win, and I’m in no position to turn down a price of 11/8 for a team in that kind of form.
Speaking of form, the two hottest sides in League Two face off on Saturday at Kenilworth Road as Luton Town face Stevenage. Luton should be kicking off the game on the front foot, but Stevenage boast English football’s highest goalscorer of 2017. Matt Gooden has 12 goals in as many games this calendar year, and his form boosts my hopes of an away win with both teams to score at an unbelievable 7/1.
Last, and let’s face it, probably least is a trip to Crewe as they face crisis club Newport County. Newport sacked manager Graham Westley this week, and are nine points from safety following a run of just two away wins since August. Crewe’s fortunes are improving after winning three of their last six, and are fresh from a brilliant win at Portsmouth last time out. Get on the Alex at a decent 11/10 to cap off your acca in style.
El Capitano’s Tip of the Day: Harry Kane to score at least two against Millwall (assuming he plays) at 9/5 with Ladbrokes.
Cappa’s Acca: £10 on Chelsea, Cardiff, Crewe, Charlton and Leeds returns a DUUUURRRRRRTY £316 with BoyleSports. Back it here!
Check out what the rest of the WantMyBet blog crew are backing here.