It’s a crunch-game convention in the EFL this week, featuring plenty of games with more riding on them than your favourite porn star.
A trip to Suffolk is our first stop, where another defeat for either Ipswich or Birmingham could plunge them right in the thick of a Championship relegation dog fight. Since January, this pair have mustered just three wins between them, so a draw that would claw them ever closer to safety looks a good bet at 11/5 with BoyleSports.
Sheffield Wednesday’s poor form has seen their advantage over fellow play-off chasing Fulham cut to just a point. Saturday sees the Owls travel across Yorkshire for a match against Barnsley that they could really do with winning. The Tykes don’t have a huge deal to play for, and are going through a patchy run of no wins in six, and no clean sheets in eight. Back the away side to get back on track with a win at 5/4 with Ladbrokes.
In the battle for automatic promotion to the Premier League, Brighton, Newcastle and Huddersfield face home games against three of the bottom four. Avoid Newcastle like the plague at 4/11 to beat Wigan, and Huddersfield look dodgy at 4/7 to beat a Burton side that have shown plenty of grit this season. Brighton look like the best of the bunch this weekend, and are 3/5 to secure their 14th home win of the season against Blackburn, who have won just twice on the road this campaign.
Millwall’s play-off hopes are hanging by a thread in League One, so the last thing they’ll want is a game against Scunthorpe, who are coming off the back of a cracking win against Bradford last weekend. A defeat for Millwall would see them potentially six points behind 6th-placed Southend, so back the Lions for a surprise win against a side whose play-off place looks way more secure.
Port Vale are sitting on the wrong side of the relegation dotted line, but still look great value at 2/1 in a home game against the inconsistent AFC Wimbledon. The Vale are showing shoots of recovery following a disastrous ten-game winless spell at the start of the year. They’ve since secured seven points from a possible 15, so I’m backing them for three more against opponents who are probably thinking about their summer holidays.
Northampton sit alongside Wimbledon on 50 points, and they travel to Rochdale, who are still harbouring plenty of play-off hopes. Dale sit just four points behind the top six, and with the added luxury of a game in hand they certainly have a great chance of making the ground up on their rivals. They also have the second-best home record in the division, so should make easy work of the Cobblers, who have won just once in eight league games.
The game of League Two is over at Kenilworth Road, where Luton are hosting in-form Blackpool. Luton’s home form has been patchy as of late, but the Tangerines are flying on the road, having only lost once on their travels in 2017. Both sides know where the goal is, and these sides have averaged nearly four goals a game in their last nine meetings. Both teams to score looks like a solid gold banker at 4/5 with Ladbrokes.
The play-off battle in League Two is the tightest of all three EFL divisions, with Mansfield and Exeter both heading up serious challenges for the top seven. They face each other at Field Mill on Saturday, and you’d think goals are a cert when you remember Exeter are the second-best away side in the league, while Mansfield have lost just once at home this calendar year. The pussy’s way out of this one is backing both teams to score, but it’s probably a pretty profitable way out too, at a very tidy 17/20.
Last up, you’ve got to be backing Doncaster to plant a firm foot in League One, courtesy of a win at Grimsby. Three points would see them all but promoted, while the Grimmers (not their real nickname) sit 13th, with no real expectations of switching divisions. Get on the Donny at 5/6 for the three points here.
El Capitano’s Tip of the Day: Doncaster at 5/6 to win at Grimsby in League Two.
Cappa’s Acca: £10 on Brighton, Fleetwood, Doncaster and Plymouth returns £140 with BoyleSports. Back it here!
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