We begin with the final game of the Italian fixture list and it looks like an orgy of goals are on the cards. Napoli are the league’s highest scorers with 77 for the season thus far. Inter are fresh from a phenomenal 5-4 defeat by Fiorentina last weekend which, according to many news outlets, was the catalyst for manager Stefano Pioli to attempt his resignation. With two points from the last five games things don’t look so rosy for Inter.
And so, 5/2 for both teams to score and Napoli to win are what I suggest for this one. If you fancy something else 13/10 on over 3.5 goals is worth a punt as Inter have averaged slightly more than five goals a game in recent fixtures.
There is no doubt who the form team of Germany is right now. Not the powerhouse of Dortmund nor the moneybags of Munich but 2003/04 champions Werder Bremen. Unbeaten in ten with eight of those wins they have gone from flirting with relegation to within touching distance of Europe. One of the stars is Max Kruse who in the past has left €75,000 in a taxi after a poker tournament as well as being accused of a Nutella addiction by his former boss. Kruse now has thirteen from nineteen starts and with Hertha Berlin losing eight straight away games there is only one verdict for their game this weekend. 11/10 are the odds, click here to get the bet.
Not happy with the highest scorers in Europe, French football fans seem intent on pissing off the French Football Association. After ugly scenes in Corsica recently when Bastia fans forced their game to be abandoned with Lyon, the fans of city rivals St Etienne, who were culpable in having Etienne’s game with Rennes being played behind closed doors, broke into their own stadium with flares which forced the players off the pitch and the game to be delayed forty minutes. It ended a drab 1-1 draw but with problems on the pitch now spreading to the stands, St Etienne’s trip to Guingamp this weekend looks likely to end in a home victory.
Guingamp have won four of their last five at home and that defeat was against everyone’s favourite new team Monaco. St Etienne look devoid of creativity and flair. Couple that with a manager who has taken the team as far as they can go and 13/10 odds for a home win look very alluring.
From the 21st of April to the 1st of May their is a La Liga fixture every day, and we think the Premier league is congested. With that in mind it’s quite hard to make a call for this weekend when a lot of games are happening mid-week (Of course yours truly has written a blog with some tips if you fancy a cheeky peek).
So this weeks tip is on one of the three Basque teams fighting for a place in the Europa League next season. Athletic have refocused themselves and are desperate for European football next season especially at the expense of local rivals Real Sociedad and plucky Eibar. With Aduriz on 14 for the season they travel to Celta Vigo on Sunday. Celta have given up on the league and are going all out in the Europa League with Manchester United awaiting in the semis.
With this in mind I wouldn’t be surprised if Celta play a weakened team for this one and 20/21 odds for an away win is my suggestion for La Liga this weekend.
TJ’s Euro Acca.
This week is 6-fold with an emphasise on goals as well as wins. There are quite a few derbies around Europe this weekend so form books go out of the window. I have managed to put together a slightly risky yet potentially wonderful acca just for you the Want My Bet user to enjoy.
In Germany I’ve backed Dortmund and Leipzig for home wins against Cologne and Ingolstadt respectively. Both have impressive home records and even with European places guaranteed, the chance to put pressure on Bayern after their lacklustre draw to Mainz last week, is one they won’t be able to resist.
In France and Italy I think over 2.5 goals in the Monaco game and Rome derby look more than probable. We all know about Monaco’s attacking arsenal whilst the Rome derby has produced some great games recently with goals at the centre of this. Both teams love to score and have the 2nd, Edin Dzeko 25, and 6th, Cire Immobile 20, highest scorers in the league.
Finally in Spain, I’ve gone for even more goals at the Santiago Bernabeu as Valencia make the trip west to Madrid and over 3.5 goals are on the cards whilst another loss for Tony and Granada is on the horizon. Nothing personal Tony but Granada are the personification of why you don’t base a nucleus of a team around loanees. Real Sociedad to win that one in San Sebastian with ease.
7.89/1 are the odds on this one so stick a tenner on, sit back and wait for the weekend to come. Until next time.