The second-tier action returns on Friday night with a double header that sees Birmingham cost Cardiff, and Bristol City taking on Burton at Ashton Gate…
Birmingham confidence is at the lowest of ebbs following their 5-0 pummelling by Hull City a fortnight ago, while Cardiff remain a point clear at the top of the league and are unbeaten in four. All things considered, Cardiff to take three points to create a gap at the top looks a steal at 13/10.
Bristol City are up there as one of the shortest prices in the EFL this weekend against the Brewers, and rightly so. The Robins haven’t lost in over two months, and have kept three clean sheets in their last four games. Their visitors look set for another relegation scrap this year, and go into this game off the back of consecutive 4-0 losses. There are far worse bets for another Burton defeat by the same scoreline, which you can get at 18/1 with Ladbrokes.
On to Saturday and Brentford are a very tidy 10/11 to make it four games unbeaten with a win over struggling travellers Millwall. Dean Smith’s Bees had a poor start to the season but have had a decent run that has seen them scoop impressive draws against Derby and Middlesbrough in recent weeks. Millwall, meanwhile, remain winless on the road this season, and have only scored twice away from home so far. The crowd likes to get on top of the opposition at Griffin Park, and that could well sway the game in Brentford’s favour, so double your money with a home win here.
An intriguing West Midlands derby is Saturday’s evening game, with Wolves hosting Aston Vanilla at Molineux. Both sides go into the game in decent nick – with nine wins and one defeat between them in their last five games combined. Both have dealt 4-0 thrashings out to Burton in recent weeks, so confidence in front of goal shouldn’t be a problem. In a match featuring two in-form teams, 5/6 for both of them to score is as good as it gets. Youngster Keinan Davis is starting to make a name for himself in claret and blue, and the forward has scored in his last two away games, so looks like the form horse in the pack for this one. Get on him to score anytime at a massive 3/1 with BoyleSports.
Now, we can’t ignore Sunday’s massive clash between Derby and Forest at Pride Park. It’ll be the first time in nearly three years that an East Midlands derby between these two will feature the same managers as the previous meeting. In contrast Wolves-Villa, the two teams here are in pretty poor form ahead of the game, and with that in mind, a draw would be taken by all parties involved. You can get the stalemate for as much as 13/5 if you’re quick about it…
We’ll briefly stick with the local derbies as we head into the third tier clash between Lancashire rivals Oldham and Blackburn. After a shocking start to the season, caretaker Richie Wellens has overseen three straight wins for the Latics, including the impressive scalps of Peterborough and Portsmouth. Blackburn’s form is yet to catch fire, summed up by last week’s EFL Trophy home defeat to struggling Bury. With the form Oldham are in, they’re well worth backing to take at least a half against their inconsistent opponents at 8/5 with BoyleSports.
Charlton tails are well and truly up after a cracking display in their 3-1 away win at Fleetwood last weekend, and look a great price at 7/5 to build on that with three more points at home to mid-table Doncaster, who have lost four of their last five away games.
I love to harp on about Shrewsbury at the moment, but at prices like 11/10 to win at bottom-of-the-table Plymouth Argyle, they simply can’t be ignored. Shrewsbury are unbeaten and sit top of the tree, while Plymouth haven’t won since mid-August and have lost their last four games. Surely the Shrews look a shrewd bet here…
Notts County’s short reign at the top of League Two ended after a disappointing home draw with struggling Forest Green last Saturday, but I fancy them at even money to put things right with a home win against an out-of-form Barnet side. The travelling Bees have only won once in their last seven away games, and have lost three in a row on the road. The Magpies have also never lost a league game against their visitors at Meadow Lane. Death by stats. Get on the ‘pies.
Exeter were the side that usurped Notts County as the kings of the division last weekend, but their tenure at the top will be tested with a tough trip to Wycombe this weekend. The Chairboys have won their last four, and have been the team to follow for a goal fest – they’ve won their last two games to the tune of a 3-1 scoreline, with a 3-2 and 2-1 coming before those. With that in mind, over 2.5 goals at 8/11 looks like a proper banker.
Luton performed a minor miracle last week in becoming the first side to keep a clean sheet at Accrington Stanley since last December, and look a great shout to perform a similar feat at home to Stevenage, who haven’t scored in back-to-back away games. 11/8 is a cracking price for another Hatters shutout.
El Capitano’s Tip of the Day: Notts County at even-money to get back to winning ways against Barnet in League Two.
Cappa’s Acca: £1o on Norwich, Sheffield Wednesday, Bradford and Luton returns £145 with BoyleSports. Back it here!