We kick things off with a relegation six-pointer as Burton host Sunderland at a Pirelli Stadium that could well be the scene of the wheels falling off one of these side’s seasons. Decent form doesn’t seem to be brewing for the Brewers thanks to a run of just one win in eleven, while a winless 15-game spell means the Black Cats have their tails well and truly between their legs. Don’t expect many goals, but maybe expect one from visiting striker Lewis Grabban, who has scored seven goals in his last six games in the league. The 29-year-old is 6/4 to bag anytime here.
There’s an intriguing game in the race for the play-offs at the Riverside on Saturday as Middlesbrough take on Derby County. Boro and Britt Assombalonga returned to form in midweek in a comfortable 2-0 victory over Birmingham, while Matej Vydra is continuing to bang in the goals as he scored the opener in the Rams’ win over QPR on Tuesday. Derby haven’t won on Teeside since the year 2000 but are a tough side to beat on the road, so this game has a draw written all over it, and you can get that 23/10 with BoyleSports.
If wins are what you’re after then you should find one at Craven Cottage in the game that sees an improving Fulham side take on the travel-sick Millwall. An eyebrow-raising 5-4 away win at Sheffield United last time out should be the confidence boost the Cottagers desperately need following a disappoint start to the season. Neil Harris’ Millwall, meanwhile, [Crtrl + V] are still winless on the road, and I don’t fancy them to find their inspiration in their third London derby of the season. Get on the home win at a decent 5/6 with Ladbrokes.
And if you’re thinking of backing Wolves at 4/11 in their home game against Preston, go for the slightly better value in the form of a home clean sheet at 20/23 – It would be their fourth straight shutout, and they really should get one against one of the lowest scoring sides in the division.
Scunthorpe are starting to strut their stuff, and a nine-game unbeaten run has seen them to third place as they prepare to face Charlton, who sit just a place below their hosts. The Addicks are on a decent run themselves with just one defeat in 12, which makes you think that this has all the signs of a draw that both sides would take ahead of a Christmas schedule where much easier games are just around the corner for the pair. Get on the stalemate here at 11/5.
Wigan face a tough test in the race for automatic promotion when they travel to Rotherham at the weekend. The Latics should take encouragement from the Millers’ stuttering home form, and back-to-back defeats on home turf for Paul Warne’s side have seen them fall out of the play-off places. Away form certainly hasn’t been a problem for Wigan, and they’ve only failed to find the net in one away trip this season – and that was against top of the league Shrewsbury. Put your faith (and your money) in an away win at 11/10.
Over 2.5 goals has been a winner in six of the last games between Rochdale and Peterborough, and both sides have been finding the net with ease in recent weeks. ‘Dale have bagged a goal in each their last eight games, while the Posh have only failed to score once in their last nine outings. Let’s go one further this time around and have a dollop on over 3.5 goals at 17/10 with BoyleSports.
Nottinghamshire meets Derbyshire at Field Mill when in-form Mansfield take on basement boys Chesterfield. The visitors may be sitting at the bottom of the EFL but are well on the way to climbing the table thanks to just one defeat in five games, and back-to-back wins that include the impressive scalp of Exeter last Saturday. The Stags are the division’s form side, though, and boast five straight wins as part of a nine-game undefeated run. With Chesterfield showing shoots of recovery, I’m going to stake my already dodgy reputation and chuck a tenner on them winning a half at a massive 9/5 with Ladbrokes. Mansfield’s good form has to end at some point…
Barnet accompany Chesterfield in the League Two drop zone but I fancy them to climb out of it this weekend with three points against one of the country’s bluntest attacks in the form of Grimsby. The Mariners haven’t scored in their last three away games, and Mark Mcghee’s arrival at Barnet has sparked a revival that saw them scoop a great win at Newport last time out. The Bees are 6/5 to provide some sting with three points on Saturday.
I’m finding it more and more difficult to ignore Notts County when they’re at home, especially when you consider they’ve only lost at Meadow Lane once all calendar year. They host Colchester this weekend, who are one of the better travellers in the division, but have still only scored once in their last three away games. Two tips from me in this one: The County home win at a massive 11/10, and in-form Pies midfielder Jorge Grant to make it 14 goals this season from midfield at 13/8.
El Capitano’s Tip of the Day: A Fulham home win against Millwall in the Championship at 5/6.
Cappa’s Acca: £10 on Bristol City, Fulham, Wigan and Carlislte returns £173 with BoyleSports. Back it here!