Friday night’s clash of Norwich and Brentford just has that “look” about it, doesn’t it? Both sides have plenty going forward but sit in mid-table, which means that they’re probably shite at the back, and the stats back me up. Just one clean sheet between the two in each of their last seven games makes 8/15 for both teams scoring look a banker. It’s not quite the bet that will make your millions, so have a dabble on Brentford’s Ollie Watkins to score first at 13/2. The frontman has scored in four of his side’s last seven away games.
Nottingham Forest have lost their last four away games, and next up is a tough trip to Deepdale to face a Preston side that’s back in the hunt for the play-offs after an impressive win over Sheffield United last time out. Forest also boast the impressive tag of not drawing a single game this season, and considering their form on the road, a home win looks a great price at 20/23.
That defeat for Sheffield United has plunged them to the relative depths of sixth place, and could find themselves as low as ninth by the time they travel to Aston Villa in the late game. The Blades have looked rather blunt in recent weeks, with four defeats in five threatening to derail their season, but Villa aren’t in good nick themselves, with just one goal in their last two games. This will be a tight game that neither can afford to lose, so get on under 1.5 goals at 2/1 with Ladbrokes.
There are few sides in better form than Derby County. Nine wins in 12 have cemented their play-off place, and the Rams next face Millwall at Pride Park, who haven’t won away from home all season, and are amongst the lowest scorers in the division. 20/23 for another Ram raid is a beauty.
Top-of-the-table Wigan’s trip to Oxford should be an interesting game. The Latics have won five of their last six, but their hosts are unbeaten in four, and have plenty in attack to trouble their high-flying visitors. I fancy the U’s to give Paul Cook’s Wigan plenty of problems, and with back-to-back clean sheets in the bank, I’m backing them to sneak a half at a whopping 31/20.
Bristol Rovers have lost five straight away games, so luckily for them they’re at home this weekend when they face Doncaster, who have three straight defeats on the road themselves. Home comforts are the order of the day for Rovers, who have won their last two home games in impressive fashion against Rotherham and Southend. 13/10 is your price for the Pirates to seal the bounty of three points here.
And if you fancy a League One winner that’s slightly left field, stick a tenner on Portsmouth to snatch a win at second-placed Shrewsbury. 7/4 is a great price when you take a peek at Pompey’s form – four wins without conceding a goal is impressive in any division, and the Shrews may well start to feel the heat of Blackburn breathing down their necks as we head into a busy Christmas period.
*OBLIGATORY NOTTS COUNTY HOME WIN TIP ALERT*
Notts County have drawn their last two games, so need a win over an inconsistent Cambridge to stay within touching distance of Luton at the top. If they could handpick opponents this weekend, Cambridge would be high up on the Magpies’ wishlist – the U’s have lost three straight games and are the joint-lowest scorers in League Two. Stick the home win in your acca at 4/5.
Three wins in four have put Colchester back in the play-off picture, and should be a good bet at 7/5 for three more vital points when they welcome Port Vale to lovely old Essex. The Vale haven’t kept a clean sheet away from home since October, and with Colchester netting three in back-to-back games, this game’s spoils are heading in only one direction.
El Capitano’s Tip of the Day: A Derby win at home to Millwall at near-enough evens.
Cappa’s Acca: £10 on Preston, Leeds, Scunthorpe and Mansfield returns £140 with Ladbrokes. Back it here!